Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayners Lane win with a probability of 62.99%. A win for Broadfields United had a probability of 18.94% and a draw had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayners Lane win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Broadfields United win was 1-2 (4.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayners Lane would win this match.