Poland

2 - 0

Faroe Islands

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.