MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 10:28:59| >> :600:6275412:6275412:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Latvia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadions Skonto
Croatia national football team

Latvia
0 - 2
Croatia


Tobers (30'), Saveljevs (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Majer (7'), Kramaric (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Latvia and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions
Last Game: Turkey 4-0 Latvia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia6610
3Wales6010
4Armenia6-17
5Latvia7-123

Croatia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-1 Croatia
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia6610
3Wales6010
4Armenia6-17
5Latvia7-123

We said: Latvia 0-3 Croatia

 With a point to prove - and automatic qualification still possible - Croatia will go full gas to ensure they take care of business in Riga. The gulf in class between the visitors and their more modest hosts is quite substantial, and that should be reflected in the scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.

Result
LatviaDrawCroatia
16.55% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 22.07% (0.0010000000000012 0) 61.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.35% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.99% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.91% (0.015999999999998 0.02)71.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (0.031000000000006 0.03)42.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.026 0.03)79.12% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.65% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.34%
Score Analysis
    Latvia 16.55%
    Croatia 61.37%
    Draw 22.06%
LatviaDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.55%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 9.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 3.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 61.37%

How you voted: Latvia vs Croatia

Latvia
15.4%
Draw
7.7%
Croatia
76.9%
39
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Croatia
5-0
Latvia
Petkovic (3', 44'), Ivanusec (13'), Kramaric (68'), Pasalic (78')

Cigaņiks (81')
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