We said: Georgia 3-0 Cyprus
After hitting Thailand for eight in midweek, Georgia will be licking their lips as they prepare for Sunday's clash against a struggling Cyprus outfit who are conceding goals for fun at present.
The visitors must improve at the back if they are to claim a positive result in Tbilisi, but we believe that the hosts will ultimately have too much quality in the final third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 90.22%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 3.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.99%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.