We said: Georgia 1-1 Norway
While the vast majority of Georgia's victories in 2022 came against teams that they would have expected to beat, Sagnol's side should feel confident of getting their Euro 2024 qualifying bid off to a respectable start.
Norway held their own for long periods of their clash with Spain and were unlucky not to have breached the Roja backline, so we can picture a tightly-fought score draw on the Batumi turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Norway had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.