Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.