MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:22:03| >> :600:233136:233136:
Aris
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadio Harilaou Kleanthis Vikelidis

Aris
1 - 0
Ararat-Armenia

Leismann (80')
Odubajo (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Grigoryan (29'), Scheid (33'), Eza (89')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Ararat-Armenia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Aris
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Aris
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ararat-Armenia win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.

Result
Aris ThessalonikiDrawArarat-Armenia
40.33% (0.166 0.17) 25.46% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 34.2% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.253 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (-0.302 -0.3)48.06% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77% (-0.276 -0.28)70.23% (0.279 0.28)
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)23.6% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.07 -0.07)57.68% (0.073 0.07)
Ararat-Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.28 -0.28)26.99% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.368 -0.37)62.34% (0.37 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Aris Thessaloniki 40.33%
    Ararat-Armenia 34.2%
    Draw 25.46%
Aris ThessalonikiDrawArarat-Armenia
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.2%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 4pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ararat-Armenia
1-1
Aris
Eza (11')
Julio (41'), Avanesyan (83'), Moron (84'), Grigoryan (90+4')
Palma (20')
Jules (52'), Moron (81'), Palma (84'), Cuesta (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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