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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
FC Utrecht

Heerenveen
2 - 3
Utrecht

Walemark (90', 90+4')
Braude (70')
Braude (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lidberg (37'), Lammers (48', 83')
Jensen (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-2 FC Utrecht

Apart from the 4-2 loss to Arne Slot's Feyenoord, Utrecht have been in sensational form of late and should be confident of further cementing their spot in the top eight with three points on Sunday night. Heerenveen battled back hard to earn a point versus Twente earlier in the week, but we feel that De Superfriezen will be unable to repeat the trick at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawFC Utrecht
44.5% (-0.226 -0.23) 23.74% (0.029 0.03) 31.76% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)40.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.3% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)18.66% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-0.188 -0.19)49.99% (0.189 0.19)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.101 0.1)25.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.13800000000001 0.14)59.7% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 44.5%
    FC Utrecht 31.76%
    Draw 23.74%
HeerenveenDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.76%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Utrecht

Heerenveen
Draw
FC Utrecht
Heerenveen
20.9%
Draw
18.6%
FC Utrecht
60.5%
43
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Utrecht
0-2
Heerenveen
Sahraoui (69'), Karlsbakk (90+2')
van Ottele (45+2')
Feb 4, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 20
Utrecht
1-0
Heerenveen
Douvikas (69' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 3.30pm
Feb 27, 2022 7pm
Oct 23, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 9
Utrecht
2-1
Heerenveen
Jansen (23' og.)
Kongolo (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV25174475304555
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2514744638849
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2586113145-1430
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2584132743-1628
12Heracles2569103246-1427
13NECNijmegen2575133637-126
14PEC Zwolle2567122940-1125
15Sparta RotterdamSparta2559112434-1024
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2535171549-3414


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