Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC
There is little to pick between the sides heading into this one, and Sunday's game could easily head either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
54.47% ( -0.03) | 21.17% ( 0.16) | 24.36% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.24% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.89) | 34.03% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.1% ( -1.02) | 55.9% ( 1.03) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.35% ( -0.3) | 12.65% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.2% ( -0.64) | 38.8% ( 0.65) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.57) | 26.46% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.36% ( -0.77) | 61.64% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht 54.47%
NEC 24.36%
Draw 21.17%
| FC Utrecht | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.47% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.36% |
How you voted: Utrecht vs Nijmegen
FC Utrecht
56.3%Draw
12.5%NEC
31.3%16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
Utrecht
0-0
Nijmegen
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
