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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
33.64% ( 0.04) | 23.62% ( -0) | 42.73% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 62.16% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.33% ( 0.04) | 39.67% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.98% ( 0.05) | 62.02% ( -0.05) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.66% ( 0.04) | 23.34% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.7% ( 0.06) | 57.3% ( -0.07) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( 0) | 18.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% ( 0.01) | 50.39% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 42.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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