Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.