Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tromso IL in this match.