Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.