Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for HamKam had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest HamKam win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.