MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 00:29:44| >> :600:337398:337398:
Derby logo
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Bradford City

Derby
0 - 1
Bradford


Nelson (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stubbs (67')
Ridehalgh (40'), Smallwood (58'), Gilliead (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Derby County and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-3 Derby
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in League One

Bradford City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 2-4 Crawley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Derby County 3-1 Bradford City

 Although Bradford have struggled in recent league games, they have won all four games in the EFL Trophy to seal their place in the last 16. However, we think that their fine run in the competition will be brought to an end by an in-form Derby side that has won four of their last five competitive matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBradford City
56.19% (-0.314 -0.31) 22.82% (0.118 0.12) 20.99% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.84% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (-0.248 -0.25)45.66% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (-0.237 -0.24)67.98% (0.241 0.24)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.94% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)16.06% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.357 -0.36)45.43% (0.361 0.36)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.055999999999997 0.06)35.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (0.056999999999999 0.06)72.63% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 56.19%
    Bradford City 20.99%
    Draw 22.81%
Derby CountyDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.87% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.072 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.99%

How you voted: Derby vs Bradford

Derby County
86.3%
Draw
5.9%
Bradford City
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2001 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Derby
Nov 18, 2000 3pm
Derby
2-0
Bradford
Delap (68'), Christie (55')
Carbonari (64'), Kinkladze (64'), Morris (79')

Windass (26')
Apr 21, 2000 3pm
Bradford
4-4
Derby
Beagrie (27' pen.), Windass (11', 18', 44')
Delap (1'), Burley (36' pen., 52'), Strupar (6')
Delap (26')
Sep 25, 1999 3pm
Derby
0-1
Bradford

Fuertes (36')
Carbonari (66' og.)
Myers (33')
rhs 2.0
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