Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 7.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
