EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Chelsea6 - 1Middlesbrough
The Match
Match Report
Chelsea hammer Middlesbrough 6-1 to emphatically book their place in the EFL Cup final at Wembley on February 25.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Tuesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Middlesbrough |
45.23% ( -0.39) | 24.45% ( 0.03) | 30.32% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 57.7% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.11% ( 0.02) | 44.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 0.02) | 67.24% ( -0.02) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.16) | 19.96% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.26) | 52.13% ( 0.25) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( 0.25) | 27.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.48% ( 0.31) | 63.52% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Chelsea 45.23%
Middlesbrough 30.32%
Draw 24.45%
| Chelsea | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.32% |
How you voted: Chelsea vs Middlesbrough
Chelsea
81.9%Draw
9.7%Middlesbrough
8.3%144
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
May 8, 2017 8pm
Nov 20, 2016 4pm
Feb 27, 2013 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Middlesbrough
0-2
Chelsea
Form Guide
Build-up
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Middlesbrough
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.
1 year ago
How Chelsea could line up against Middlesbrough
Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Tuesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.
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