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Chelsea logo
EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Middlesbrough logo

Chelsea
6 - 1
Middlesbrough

Howson (15' og.), Fernandez (29'), Disasi (36'), Palmer (42', 77'), Madueke (81')
Mudryk (12'), Silva (53')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Rogers (88')
Crooks (40'), van den Berg (64')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea hammer Middlesbrough 6-1 to emphatically book their place in the EFL Cup final at Wembley on February 25.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Tuesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawMiddlesbrough
45.23% (-0.389 -0.39) 24.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 30.32% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)44.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)67.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.157 -0.16)19.96% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.256 -0.26)52.13% (0.254 0.25)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.24900000000001 0.25)27.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.315 0.31)63.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 45.23%
    Middlesbrough 30.32%
    Draw 24.45%
ChelseaDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

Chelsea
Draw
Middlesbrough
Chelsea
81.9%
Draw
9.7%
Middlesbrough
8.3%
144
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Middlesbrough
1-0
Chelsea
Hackney (37')
Jones (90+3')

Colwill (30')
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Middlesbrough
0-2
Chelsea

Howson (87'), Peltier (89')
Lukaku (15'), Ziyech (31')
Nov 20, 2016 4pm
Feb 27, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
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7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth29128948361244
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11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
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14Everton2971393236-434
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
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