

Chelsea6 - 1Middlesbrough
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Middlesbrough |
45.23% (![]() | 24.45% (![]() | 30.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.11% (![]() | 44.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.76% (![]() | 67.24% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% (![]() | 19.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.86% (![]() | 52.13% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% (![]() | 27.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% (![]() | 63.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 11.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.31% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.32% |
How you voted: Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

