Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.