Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.