Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.