DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Donaustadion
Ulm2 - 0Erzgebirge Aue
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between SSV Ulm and Erzgebirge Aue.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSV Ulm win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSV Ulm win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSV Ulm would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 41.8% | 22.7% | 35.49% |
| Both teams to score 66.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
