COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Wolfson Stadium
Eswatini1 - 0Zambia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eswatini in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eswatini | Draw | Zambia |
| 39.78% | 28.9% | 31.32% |
| Both teams to score 44.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
