Tolima

3 - 1

Puerto Cabello

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.