MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:38:17| >> :600:2306637:2306637:
Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin

Melgar
1 - 1
Aurora

Bordacahar (7')
Gonzalez (72'), Cuesta (90+3'), Galeano (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blanco (2')
Torrico (24'), Robles (36'), Blanco (72'), Serginho (90+3')
Robles (67'), Blanco (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Melgar and Aurora.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Aurora 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, February 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aurora 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, February 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
MelgarDrawAurora
70.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 11.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.69% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)43.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.073 -0.07)65.71% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.94% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)35.14% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Aurora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.57% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)82.91% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 70.92%
    Aurora 11.08%
    Draw 17.99%
MelgarDrawAurora
2-0 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 70.92%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.99%
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.08%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 12.30am
First Round 1st Leg
Aurora
1-0
Melgar
Alaniz (45+1')
Sanchez (35'), Robles (75')

Arias (15'), Cabrera (70')
Cabrera (88')
rhs 2.0
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