Sh. Shenhua2 - 1Guangzhou
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, June 20 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 6 | 10 | 14 |
2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 5 | 7 | 13 |
3 | Shandong Taishan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
Sunday, June 19 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Dalian Pro | 6 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Guangzhou | 5 | -8 | 3 |
We said: Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Guangzhou
Buoyed their victory last time out, Guangzhou will head into Saturday's game full of confidence, but they will be going up against a Shanghai Shenhua side who are firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to come away with all three points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 70.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.2%) and 3-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
Result | ||
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou |
70.83% ( 0.33) | 19.42% ( 0.16) | 9.75% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 37.8% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.19% ( -1.88) | 52.8% ( 1.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( -1.63) | 74.43% ( 1.63) |
Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% ( -0.48) | 13.73% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59% ( -0.96) | 41% ( 0.96) |
Guangzhou Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.81% ( -2.17) | 56.18% ( 2.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.42% ( -1.3) | 88.58% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Guangzhou |
1-0 @ 15.31% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.59) 3-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.99% Total : 70.81% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.48% Total : 9.75% |
Yan (45+2'), Yang (62'), Chen (69'), Asqer (90+5')
Wang (4'), Xi (81'), Ma (83'), Zhu (90+5')
Zhu (45'), N'Doumbou (71')
Xinli (29'), Wei (75'), Moreno (86')
Shilin (34')
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shanghai PortShanghai Port | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 30 | 66 | 78 |
2 | Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua | 30 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 77 |
3 | Chengdu RongchengChengdu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 59 |
4 | Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 35 | 30 | 56 |
5 | Shandong TaishanShandong | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
7 | Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 38 |
8 | HenanHenan | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Changchun YataiChangchun | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 32 |
10 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 32 |
11 | Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
12 | Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 57 | -24 | 29 |
13 | Sichuan JiuniuSichuan | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 29 |
14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 29 |
15 | Meizhou Hakka | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 27 |
16 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 22 |
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