Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 53.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Luneng Taishan would win this match.
