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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Pride Park
Fulham logo

Derby
2 - 1
Fulham

Plange (51'), Adarabioyo (73' og.)
Thompson (33'), Lawrence (61'), Allsop (89'), Cashin (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carvalho (20')
Bryan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Fulham

Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawFulham
23.36%25.12%51.52%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.84%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 23.36%
    Fulham 51.52%
    Draw 25.11%
Derby CountyDrawFulham
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.36%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-3 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Derby vs Fulham

Derby County
18.8%
Draw
12.0%
Fulham
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Fulham
3-0
Derby
Reid (7'), Mitrovic (40'), Cairney (89')
Cavaleiro (34')

Forsyth (45'), Dowell (92')
May 14, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-0
Derby
Sessegnon (47'), Odoi (66')
Johansen (62'), Kamara (74'), McDonald (78'), Bettinelli (90')

Huddlestone (77'), Palmer (78')
May 11, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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