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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Derby logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Derby

Solanke (45+5'), Lowe (90')
Stacey (45+1'), Cantwell (63'), Christie (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (69'), Davies (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Derby County

After two games without a win, we expect a response from Bournemouth in this match and are predicting the Cherries to triumph. If we have learned anything this season it is to not write off Derby, but it seems a big ask for the Rams to get something in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
BournemouthDrawDerby County
71.64%18.09%10.27%
Both teams to score 43.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49%11.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61%36.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.13%50.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75%85.25%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 71.62%
    Derby County 10.27%
    Draw 18.09%
BournemouthDrawDerby County
2-0 @ 13.68%
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.6%
5-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 71.62%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.96%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 10.27%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Derby

Bournemouth
63.8%
Draw
15.5%
Derby County
20.7%
58
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Derby
3-2
Bournemouth
Knight (13'), Lawrence (62', 69' pen.)
Anthony (19'), Solanke (38')
Billing (54')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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