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PAOK
Champions League | Playoffs
Sep 30, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
Krasnodar

PAOK
1 - 2
Krasnodar

El Kaddouri (77')
Ingi Ingason (24'), Pelkas (37'), El Kaddouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Michailidis (73' og.), Cabella (78')
Vilhena (33'), Pantaleao (35')
Coverage of the Champions League Playoffs clash between PAOK and FC Krasnodar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest PAOK win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.

Result
PAOKDrawFC Krasnodar
32.42%24.2%43.39%
Both teams to score 59.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19%42.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79%65.21%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59%60.41%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08%19.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95%52.05%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 32.42%
    FC Krasnodar 43.39%
    Draw 24.19%
PAOKDrawFC Krasnodar
2-1 @ 7.64%
1-0 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 4.74%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 32.42%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-1 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.39%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2020 8pm
Playoffs
Krasnodar
2-1
PAOK
Claesson (39' pen.), Cabella (70')
Pantaleao (6'), Claesson (55'), Berg (88'), Olsson (90+1')
Pelkas (32')
Schwab (8'), Pereira (20'), Angel Crespo (76'), Ingi Ingason (90+1')
Nov 5, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Krasnodar
2-1
PAOK
Ari (33'), Joaozinho (67' pen.)
Torbinski (62'), Petrov (84'), Ari (85')
Mak (91')
Costa (43')
Oct 22, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
PAOK
0-0
Krasnodar
Macedo Da Silva (63')
Macedo Da Silva (89')
rhs 2.0
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