MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 06:10:21| >> :600:740713:740713:
Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Manchester United logo

Bayern
4 - 3
Man Utd

Sane (28'), Gnabry (32'), Kane (53' pen.), Tel (90+2')
Goretzka (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hojlund (49'), Casemiro (88', 90+5')
Martinez (62')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Kane is on the scoresheet as Bayern Munich open their Champions League group-stage campaign with a 4-3 victory over Manchester United at Allianz Arena.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Manchester United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Friday, September 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Brighton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawManchester United
55.07% (-0.197 -0.2) 20.38% (0.029 0.03) 24.54% (0.17 0.17)
Both teams to score 67.49% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.08% (0.042000000000002 0.04)29.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.91% (0.047999999999995 0.05)51.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)11.13% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)35.56% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.143 0.14)24.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (0.204 0.2)58.34% (-0.2 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 55.07%
    Manchester United 24.54%
    Draw 20.38%
Bayern MunichDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 55.07%
1-1 @ 8.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.81% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Bayern vs Man Utd

Bayern Munich
Draw
Manchester United
Bayern Munich
73.4%
Draw
9.8%
Manchester United
16.8%
399
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2018 7.15pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bayern
1-0
Man Utd
Martinez (59')
Boateng (69')
Apr 9, 2014 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
3-1
Man Utd
Apr 1, 2014 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Man Utd
1-1
Bayern
Build-up
Bayern Munich's Joshua Kimmich after the match on August 27, 2023
Bayern Munich dealt Joshua Kimmich injury concern ahead of Manchester United clash
Bayern Munich reportedly have concerns over Joshua Kimmich's fitness ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Manchester United.
1 year ago
Manchester United defender Raphael Varane on August 14, 2023
Manchester United team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Bayern Munich
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
1 year ago
Bayern Munich's Joshua Kimmich after the match on August 27, 2023
How Bayern Munich could line up against Manchester United
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Manchester United.
1 year ago
Aaron Wan-Bissaka in action for Manchester United in August 2023
How Manchester United could line up against Bayern Munich
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.
1 year ago
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane on August 18, 2023
Harry Kane insists Bayern Munich must respect Manchester United despite poor form
Bayern Munich's Harry Kane admits that Manchester United are enduring a "difficult moment" but he insists that the German giants must not underestimate the Red Devils in Wednesday's Champions League showdown.
1 year ago
Bayern Munich coach Thomas Tuchel reacts on May 13, 2023
Thomas Tuchel: 'Bayern Munich will not underestimate Manchester United'
Head coach Thomas Tuchel stresses that there is no danger of his Bayern Munich side underestimating Manchester United ahead of Wednesday's Champions League meeting.
1 year ago
Manchester United's Harry Maguire after the match on August 14, 2023
Man United's Harry Maguire ruled out of Bayern Munich clash through injury
Manchester United defender Harry Maguire is out of the Red Devils' squad for Wednesday's Champions League opener with Bayern Munich due to an unspecified injury.
1 year ago
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane on August 18, 2023
Bayern Munich's Harry Kane comments on previous Manchester United links
Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane opens up on his decision to join the Bundesliga champions over Manchester United ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash.
1 year ago
Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag pictured on September 16, 2023
Erik ten Hag admits he is 'concerned' by Manchester United injuries
Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag admits that the club's current injury crisis "is a concern".
1 year ago
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!