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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Koln logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 1
FC Koln

Schmid (73')
Weiser (27'), Bittencourt (33'), Stage (79'), Buchanan (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tigges (36')
Ljubicic (12'), Hector (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 FC Koln

While in-form FC Koln have won four of their last six matches to steer clear of relegation trouble, Werder Bremen have suffered seven defeats in 10 outings to remain in danger. With that in mind, we expect the Billy Goats to notch a fourth successive away victory on Saturday, inflicting a fifth straight home defeat on the River Islanders in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
37.22% (-0.17 -0.17) 24.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.21% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 59.36% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.067999999999998 0.07)43.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.067 0.07)65.99% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)23.21% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)57.11% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.127 0.13)22.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (0.186 0.19)56.36% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 37.22%
    FC Koln 38.21%
    Draw 24.56%
Werder BremenDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs FC Koln

Werder Bremen
Draw
FC Koln
Werder Bremen
35.9%
Draw
12.8%
FC Koln
51.3%
39
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 16
FC Koln
7-1
Werder Bremen
Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
Fullkrug (38')
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 24
FC Koln
1-1
Werder Bremen
Hector (83')
Jakobs (21'), Drexler (80')
Sargent (66')
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 17
FC Koln
1-0
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (39')
Cordoba (64')

Eggestein (45'), Veljkovic (69'), Moisander (85'), Friedl (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26195275245162
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz26136744281645
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26136754401445
5RB Leipzig2611964133842
6Freiburg2612683638-242
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26124104340340
8Wolfsburg2610884940938
9Augsburg2610882935-638
10Stuttgart2510784439537
11Borussia DortmundDortmund26105114541435
12Werder Bremen2696114053-1333
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2677122438-1428
14Hoffenheim2668123248-1626
15St Pauli2674152030-1025
16Heidenheim2654173152-2119
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2646162653-2718
18Holstein Kiel2645173864-2617


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