Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 26, 2023 at 12am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras5 - 0Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, October 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Gremio
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Sao Paulo |
50.13% ( 1.53) | 24.81% ( -0.97) | 25.07% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 52.5% ( 2.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.14% ( 3.44) | 49.86% ( -3.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.14% ( 2.99) | 71.85% ( -2.99) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.09% ( 2.05) | 19.9% ( -2.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.97% ( 3.2) | 52.03% ( -3.2) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% ( 1.39) | 34.45% ( -1.39) |