MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 15:58:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Gremio 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Galo have been sharp defensively away from home in this competition, and we believe they will be able to limit the Gremio scoring opportunities on Saturday and find a way to claim a point against an unstable backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 27.71% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.271 -0.27)57.31% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.217 -0.22)78.14% (0.218 0.22)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)31.76% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-0.208 -0.21)68.19% (0.209 0.21)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)28.94% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.167 -0.17)64.82% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 33.88%
    Atletico Mineiro 38.4%
    Draw 27.71%
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
62.1%
Draw
24.1%
Atletico Mineiro
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Jan 20, 2021 10.15pm
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Gameweek 12
Atletico Mineiro
3-1
Gremio
Keno (11', 52')
Oct 13, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico Mineiro
1-4
Gremio
Di Santo (45' pen.)
Hulk (45'), Cazares (45'), Geuvanio (62'), Luan (65'), Nathan (89')
Cazares (68')
Galhardo (34'), Souza (44' pen.), Pepe (47'), Alisson (94')
Andre (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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