Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo3 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Defensa
Wednesday, August 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bahia 4-0 Bragantino
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Bahia |
61.32% ( 0.23) | 22.7% ( 0) | 15.97% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
