Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
