Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.