Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
