Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 14.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtyor Soligorsk would win this match.