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Asian Cup
Iran national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Education City Stadium
Palestine national football team

Iran
4 - 1
Palestine

Ansarifard (2'), Khalilzadeh (12'), Ghaedi (38'), Azmoun (55')
Kanani (17')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Seyam (45+6')
Termanini (10'), Saldana (40'), Seyam (42'), Qunbar (51'), Khalil (80'), Saleh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Asian Cup clash between Iran and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Last Game: Indonesia 0-5 Iran
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Palestine

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Palestine
Tuesday, January 9 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Iran 3-0 Palestine

 Asian powerhouses Iran are not only fancied to secure first place in this group but are also expected to be one of the final four sides standing in the last week of the competition. It will be an emotional match for Palestine, who will want to give their fans something to cheer, but we feel that the Lions of Canaan will be far too good for them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 10.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.66%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawPalestine
66.53% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 23.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 10.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 31.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.36% (0.041999999999994 0.04)63.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.07% (0.032 0.03)82.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57% (0.065999999999995 0.07)50.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)61.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)91.45% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Iran 66.52%
    Palestine 10.34%
    Draw 23.14%
IranDrawPalestine
1-0 @ 19.4% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 16.15% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.96% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.73% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 66.52%
0-0 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 10.34%

How you voted: Iran vs Palestine

Iran
94.7%
Draw
0.0%
Palestine
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Dec 24, 2018 2pm
International Friendlies
Palestine
1-1
Iran
Cantillana (83')
Taremi (50')
rhs 2.0
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