Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Rosario Central
Given San Lorenzo's struggles in front of goal and Rosario's poor away form, we think this will be a low-scoring affair.
San Lorenzo are yet to lose at home this season, and their defensive record suggests that they will be able to keep their opponents out and edge this contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29% . A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63% .
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%) , while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
Result San Lorenzo Draw Rosario Central 59.29% ( 6.22) 25.07% ( -2.35) 15.63% ( -3.88)
Both teams to score 38.64% ( -0.6)
38.9% ( 2.79) 61.1% ( -2.79)
18.93% ( 2.04) 81.07% ( -2.04)
79.32% ( 3.82) 20.68% ( -3.82)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.73% ( 5.69) 53.27% ( -5.69)
48.71% ( -3.26) 51.29% ( 3.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.46% ( -2.28) 85.53% ( 2.28)
San Lorenzo 59.29%
Rosario Central 15.64%
Draw 25.06%
San Lorenzo Draw Rosario Central 1-0 @ 16.71% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.17% ( 1.54) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 1.46) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.62) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.81) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.29% 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.97) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( -1.16) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.37% Total : 25.06% 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -1.55) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.72) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.8) Other @ 2.46% Total : 15.64%
How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Rosario
San Lorenzo
Draw
Rosario Central
15
rhs 2.0
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