Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 17
Oct 7, 2024 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa2 - 1Rosario
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Rosario Central.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-0 Defensa
Saturday, September 28 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, September 28 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Rosario 3-0 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, October 2 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, October 2 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 50.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Rosario Central |
50.61% ( 0.79) | 28.2% ( 0.01) | 21.18% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 39.42% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.64) | 64.77% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.26% ( -0.45) | 83.73% ( 0.45) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( 0.08) | 26.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.91% ( 0.11) | 61.09% ( -0.12) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% ( -1.24) | 46.69% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.75% ( -0.96) | 82.25% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
Defensa y Justicia 50.6%
Rosario Central 21.18%
Draw 28.2%
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 16.35% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.44% Total : 21.18% |
How you voted: Defensa vs Rosario
Defensa y Justicia
44.4%Draw
33.3%Rosario Central
22.2%9
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 24
Rosario
0-0
Defensa
Feb 24, 2020 10.40pm
Gameweek 21
Defensa
3-0
Rosario
Form Guide
