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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Namibia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Orlando Stadium
Kenya national football team

Namibia
1 - 2
Kenya

Hotto (90+5')
Hambira (20'), Katua (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Avire (58'), Abuya (76')
Chris Onyango (15'), Akumu (36'), Avire (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Namibia and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Kenya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Zimbabwe
Friday, September 6 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Namibia 0-1 Kenya

 Kenya have put together a solid run of results this year and will be looking to build on their stalemate against Zimbabwe on Tuesday. While we expect Namibia to put up a fight, we are backing the Harambee Stars to come away with a narrow victory at the Orlando Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 35.94%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 2-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (13.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
NamibiaDrawKenya
35.94% (-1.581 -1.58) 30.94% (0.443 0.44) 33.12% (1.135 1.14)
Both teams to score 39.67% (-0.931 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.03% (-1.172 -1.17)67.97% (1.169 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.08% (-0.788 -0.79)85.91% (0.78399999999999 0.78)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-1.69 -1.69)36.01% (1.687 1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-1.765 -1.77)72.79% (1.761 1.76)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.178 0.18)38% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.172 0.17)74.77% (-0.175 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Namibia 35.93%
    Kenya 33.12%
    Draw 30.93%
NamibiaDrawKenya
1-0 @ 13.97% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-0.355 -0.36)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2%
Total : 35.93%
0-0 @ 13.68% (0.58 0.58)
1-1 @ 13.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.93%
0-1 @ 13.24% (0.63 0.63)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.331 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 33.12%

How you voted: Namibia vs Kenya

Namibia
38.9%
Draw
25.0%
Kenya
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Namibia
P-P
Kenya
Jun 8, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
Kenya
P-P
Namibia
rhs 2.0
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13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
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15Crystal Palace194872027-720
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19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
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