Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Mali1 - 1Mozambique
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mali and Mozambique.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Mozambique |
59.1% ( 0.73) | 24.47% ( -0.45) | 16.43% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 41.51% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
