Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).
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