Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Eintracht Braunschweig had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Eintracht Braunschweig win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.