Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.