Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.