Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.