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Zimbabwe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Guinea national football team

Zimbabwe
2 - 1
Guinea

Musona (26'), Mahachi (43')
Shumba (56'), Mahachi (86'), Bhasera (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Keita (49')
Cisse (34'), Keita (90+1'), Kane (90+3')

Preview: Zimbabwe vs. Guinea - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Zimbabwe and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Within touching distance of a place in the knockout stages of the Africa Cup of Nations, Guinea square off against Zimbabwe at the Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo on Tuesday.

On the other hand, Zimbabwe still await their first point of the tournament and will need a victory in this one to stand any chance of going through.


Match preview

Guinea played out a share of the spoils in their meeting against Senegal on Friday which ended 0-0 at the Kouekong Stadium.

Kaba Diawara's men were on the back foot for the majority of the contest but held firm to secure an impressive point in Bafoussam.

The National Elephants remain joint-top in Group B alongside their most recent opponents heading into the final round of matches.

Next up for them is a crunch clash versus an opposing side who they have beaten only once in the eight previous meetings between the teams.

Having recorded clean sheets in each of their last three outings, Guinea will aim to maintain their solidity at the back and use it as a platform for a positive result in this one.

Zimbabwe suffered a second straight group-stage defeat as they were beaten 2-1 by the Flames of Malawi on Friday.

Norman Mapeza's men took the lead seven minutes shy of half time through Ishmael Wadi, but a brace from Gabadinho Mhango turned the game on its head.

The Warriors are rooted to the bottom of the group and are staring down the possibility of a third first-round exit on the bounce.

Currently on a run of 14 games without a victory, the Southern Africans head into Tuesday's clash with their backs against the wall as they set out to salvage their AFCON campaign.

Zimbabwe Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • L
  • L

Zimbabwe form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Guinea Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • W
  • D

Guinea form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Ilaix Moriba was handed a rare start versus Senegal, but the RB Leipzig midfielder was substituted midway through the second half following a quiet performance.

Following their dogged display in the aforementioned game, we expect Diawara to stick with the same defensive unit that is yet to be breached so far.

Ishmael Wadi opened his account for Zimbabwe with his strike last time out but the 29-year-old is a doubt for Tuesday's game after he came off with an injury in the final knockings against Malawi.

Prince Dube could replace Tino Kadewere up front as Mapeza seeks to reignite what has been a dysfunctional attack of late.

Zimbabwe possible starting lineup:
Mhari; Bhasera, Hadebe, Takwara, Chimwemwe; Madzongwe, Benyu, Musona; Kangwa, Dube, Mahachi

Guinea possible starting lineup:
Keita; Sylla, Conte, Camara, Sow, Cisse; Keita, Diawara, Conte; Bayo, Guilavogui


SM words green background

We say: Zimbabwe 0-1 Guinea

Zimbabwe will be under a lot of pressure as they know that anything less than a victory spells the end of their journey in Cameroon. Nonetheless, we fancy Guinea to narrowly edge this one in what should be a cagey affair.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 36.04%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.2%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 1-0 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Zimbabwe vs Guinea

Zimbabwe
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Guinea
58.3%
12
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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