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North Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 8am UK
Kim Il Sung Stadium
Japan national football team

North Korea
P-P
Japan

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between North Korea and Japan.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, March 21 at 10.23am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Japan 1-0 North Korea
Thursday, March 21 at 10.23am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 83.78%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for North Korea had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.76%) and 0-4 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a North Korea win it was 1-0 (1.75%).

Result
North KoreaDrawJapan
5.28% (0.0661 0.07) 10.95% (0.136 0.14) 83.78% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)
Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)30.13% (0.423 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65% (-0.512 -0.51)51.35% (0.511 0.51)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.49% (-0.112 -0.11)52.51% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.67% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)86.33% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.84% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)5.16% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.54% (-0.337 -0.34)20.46% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    North Korea 5.28%
    Japan 83.77%
    Draw 10.95%
North KoreaDrawJapan
1-0 @ 1.75% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 1.67% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 5.28%
1-1 @ 5.18% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 10.95%
0-2 @ 11.9% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 11.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-4 @ 8.72% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.62% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-5 @ 5.17% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
1-5 @ 3.33% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-6 @ 2.55% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-7 @ 1.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 83.77%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 10.23am
Second Round
Japan
1-0
North Korea
Tanaka (2')
Ito (60')

Kuk-Chol (20'), Ri (73'), Kang II (75')
rhs 2.0
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